After villain bet and called my checkraise on the flop, I had him on exactly 99-QQ. So when the A falls on the turn I think it's perfect for me to shove for a little more than pot. Welp, villain shows up with the nuts. Seeya later, $316.
I have a lot of trouble playing the flop out of position in 3bet pots where I hold missed overcards. The fact that we are 150bb deep here makes it even harder to range villain accurately, and it turned out that he was indeed smart enough to widen his range to include implied odds hands like 6h4h. Since I thought his call preflop and bet/call on the flop meant a weak overpair, my thought was to use the deep stacks to my advantage to put a lot of pressure on him on the turn since I'd shown nothing but extreme strength in the entire hand up until that point. Unfortunately I neglected to take into account the possibility that he had some sort of implied odds hand that made the nuts.
Actually, in retrospect I don't think it's likely he has a set, since I think he tries to get it in on the flop with his sets because the board is suited and connected and my range potentially includes hands that have decent equity against a set. But even so, I think there's a pretty good chance that my line is just awful anyway. Basically, when I take my line, I'm counting on him (1) holding 99-QQ, (2) being willing to put me on a higher overpair or AK, and (3) being willing to fold to a shove when the A falls on the turn. I don't think all of these things conditions are satisfied very often. But honestly, I have no fucking clue. I feel like I know nothing about poker right now.
Again, this is a situation where I'm out of position in a huge pot with missed overcards on the flop. When villain 3bets and calls my 4bet, I have him on 99-QQ and AK, and I feel like I can make him fold by shoving for a little more than pot on this flop and representing KK+. Of course he doesn't believe me and snaps me off with JJ. Seeya later, $219.
No idea what to do here. Check/fold? Bet half pot and fold to a shove getting 5:1? Massively overshove pre? How the hell am I supposed to play this?
Here I call pre because I think I'm getting good implied odds against an UTG raiser. I flop a 15-outer and I raise on the flop because I like to build a big pot to win when I hit and also lay claim to fold equity, both immediately and for later streets. I brick the turn but still have decent equity so I bet enough to let me shove on the river. Of course I brick the river too but my plan was to shove so I follow through and shove. Villain tanks and calls with 2 seconds left in his time bank and obviously he has AA. Seeya later, $203.
Again, I vastly overestimate my fold equity on this board. My range when I shove the river looks like a set or a missed draw and nobody will ever believe that I have a set. (And yet, somehow, it seems like nobody ever pays me off when I actually do have one either. Selective memory, I guess.)
No idea what I'm supposed to do here. Checking behind might be okay if I don't think I have any fold equity at all, which could easily be the case, but it gives him a free showdown and surrenders a big pot to his weak pairs that he could have kept. I could maybe make some tiny bet of 1/4 pot to fold out any missed draws that he might have and possibly scare off some of his weak pairs. That seems easily exploited by anyone good enough to see what it means and shove over it, but will people do that? I don't even know, and that's such a crippling problem. I have no idea how I'm supposed to play this hand and all of my analytical methods are coming up short because I don't know how villains play certain parts of their ranges or even what their ranges include.
Unlike the other hands, this is one where I at least have some idea of what my errors might be. On the flop, my options should be either flatting to keep the pot small with my medium-strength hand or raising more to deny odds to draws. On the turn, there is a very strong argument to be made for a fold. Bet/call on the flop and check/raise on the turn is just such a bizarre line and I'm so confused about what to do, but it seems like in general people only ever do shit like this with the nuts. But it's just so weird and I have no idea what it means and I have omg top pair so I call. I make two pair on the river and I justify calling again to myself by telling myself that I'm ahead of K3 and possibly some AK he would play like this and all of his bluffs. Obviously he shows up with 33 that he held onto on the flop and filled on the turn. Seeya later, $198.
Calling my raise on the flop with 33 seems terrible in general, but against me, it might not be bad overall because my inability to fold against his weird out-of-nowhere aggressive line on the turn and river after he gets there is laying him sick implied odds. Is he bluffing rarely enough that I should fold on the turn getting 3.5:1 or on the river with top two pair getting nearly 3:1?
I feel like I've just played so many massive pots recently without having any idea if I'm playing them right. I was up $2,000 at one point this month and now I've lost it all and I'm barely even for the month. I've crept back within four buyins of my 1/2 stoploss. I'm also massively stressed out over my situation trying to cash out out Cake and not knowing whether or not $6,600 has been stolen from me. My sleep schedule has been fucked recently and I've missed tons of class and my academic life is falling apart like it does every semester. And I just spent my 23rd consecutive Valentine's Day alone. I wish life would stop owning me.
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