After the psychological turmoil and tiltrage that I've been going through recently, I'm strangely untilted by this past session even though it was my biggest losing session in terms of buyins in the past couple weeks. I think this is because most of my big losing hands were just coolers.
I don't think I'm ever folding to his flop checkraise - the question is whether to call or shove. I think shoving is better because I think he takes this line a lot with AK and I don't think he can get away from it so I think I get value there. When he shows up with KK I think it's just a cooler. Calling and never folding seems okay too because there's a small chance that my shove will scare away his AK and it potentially saves me some money if he somehow doesn't manage to get it all in with his KK. I'm not sure which is better but either way I don't think I can avoid losing a lot of money with AA against KK sitting 188bb deep when a K flops so I'm not tearing my hair over this; I'd be thrilled to hear the perspective of anyone who wants to voice a reasoned disagreement.
Oversetted 171bb deep. I thought about whether or not I could ever find a fold here but against a range that includes sets, AJ, KQ, AcKc, and AcQc, I have 43% equity and I'm getting almost 2:1 to call off my stack. Interestingly, against two players with that range, my equity plummets to 18%, but I don't think the short stack's range is that narrow. If I include A2+ in the short stack's range, my equity rises to 34% again. Pretty sure this is just a cooler or at worst a close decision where I erred on the side of not folding a set, but again, I'd love to hear reasoned disagreement.
Oversetted 100bb deep. A lot of people advocate limping small pairs in early position so I've been experimenting with it a little bit recently. I don't think I like it because it's difficult to limp in early position with a balanced range and it's hard to build a big pot for when I do hit my sets. It also creates the weird situation observed in this hand. I think villain's range is mostly Kx and the point of my line is to get as much value out of a mostly-Kx range as possible. Arguably, I misplayed the river and should just flatcall, because most of his Kx aren't going to lead that strongly on that river and his range starts to looking more like two pairs, sets, and straights. But arguably, I get value out of his two pairs enough to make shoving worth it. Thoughts, anyone?
This is a close and kind of confusing spot for me on the river. Should I check/call to get value out of his missed flush draws? Should I bet smaller out of fear that I'm behind, since a lot of his flop calling range has improved to two pair or possibly even a running straight on this turn and river?
As the pre-flop raiser, villain here check/calls the flop and then leads for less than half the pot on the turn. In my limited experience, I have found that this weird and confusing line usually means nuts or air but I have decent equity against the nuts so I call thinking I'm getting a decent price with okay implied odds to get value if I hit my draw. Little do I realize that I'm drawing dead against what he actually has. My bluff at the river is thin at best and might be flat-out terrible. I'm trying to represent a set or a straight made with 55 or As5s, which is seldom a good range to be trying to represent. Checking behind just seems so bad against his air, though. Is this perhaps a good spot to bet out a third of the pot and fold to a raise?
Arguably, I should fold on the turn here even with my overpair and nut flush draw. I'm getting 3.5:1 on my call and my equity against a range including boats, flushes, and trips is 16%. I don't know if the good implied odds I'm getting against his worse flushes and trips make up for the reverse implied odds I'm getting against his boats. I think the river is a fold when I miss because I'm basically bluffcatching and I don't think he's bluffing often enough to make calling profitable.
NL100 Progress
-$939.89 / $1,000.00 after 7,654 hands
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