Sunday, December 26, 2010

Worst Christmas Ever

I played 4,179 hands of NL50 full-ring rush on Christmas Day and lost $256.80. My all-in EV for the day was even worse, at -$360.68, which reflects winning a bunch of flips and KK > AA'ing some guy. Some highlights:

Hand #1
I slightly overbet the pot on the river for value against AK and AQ and I snapped it off when he shipped. Even if the call is okay, which I doubt, I think the snap is terrible. Looking back, I don't really know what happened. I guess this was a weird and horribly costly manifestation of tilt.

Hand #2
Not really sure how to play AKo against a cold 4bet from an 11/9 when sitting 150bb deep.

Hand #3
This is just really bad by me. I think this is a pretty clear fold when he checkraises the flop but I talked myself into calling because I have a backdoor flush draw and Q outs against AT and I had him as 27/27 over like 10 hands or something so I felt like he could be bluffing. Even if that isn't all nonsense, I think calling on the river is still awful because his semi-bluffing clubs got there and AT probably isn't shipping.

Hand #4
Villain is 55/36 over 11 hands so I don't know how I feel about ever folding, but it seems bad to pay him off.

I had been doing pretty well at NL50 full-ring rush until yesterday and I felt like I was finally starting to figure some of this shit out, but the past two days have made me feel pretty much totally clueless. I played another 1,012 hands today and lost another $137.55. Hands:

Hand #1
I have villain as 75/42 over 13 hands so I'm playing top pair for value. I'm very uncertain about my river bet, since JT and clubs got there. I still want to get value out of QJ, KJ, and whatever random garbage this kind of player can have, but I don't know whether a bet is profitable.

Hand #2
Similar spot. I'm betting the river for value against 88-TT and I think I might even get called by 66. A9 was not even a consideration in my mind and the fact that he had it makes me think that this spot is actually too thin to bet.

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