Sunday, February 13, 2011
Tuesday, January 25, 2011
Hands
Hand #1
A lot of people will look at this and say "oh, stop whining, it's just a cooler." But if I plan on stacking off every time on this flop, I'm laying villain fantastic implied odds to setmine against me, so how am I not hemorrhaging money here? What's the best way to play here to extract maximum value from worse without allowing him to call with any pair and play perfectly and massively profitably against me on the flop?
Hand #2
This is in retrospect a fairly obvious and huge mistake. I don't think I can fold on the turn but calling on the river is just terrible. I think that being too suspicious and doing absurd things in spots like this is my single biggest leak and has been literally since I started playing poker, and I'm so fucking discouraged by the fact that I continue to do things like this again and again - poker learning disability, etc.
A lot of people will look at this and say "oh, stop whining, it's just a cooler." But if I plan on stacking off every time on this flop, I'm laying villain fantastic implied odds to setmine against me, so how am I not hemorrhaging money here? What's the best way to play here to extract maximum value from worse without allowing him to call with any pair and play perfectly and massively profitably against me on the flop?
Hand #2
This is in retrospect a fairly obvious and huge mistake. I don't think I can fold on the turn but calling on the river is just terrible. I think that being too suspicious and doing absurd things in spots like this is my single biggest leak and has been literally since I started playing poker, and I'm so fucking discouraged by the fact that I continue to do things like this again and again - poker learning disability, etc.
Sunday, January 9, 2011
Lose Lose Lose
Decided to do my Iron Man at 11:00pm instead of trying to fit it in during the day tomorrow. In retrospect, I wish I hadn't, because this was one of the most demoralizing sessions I've played in a while.
Hand #1
I really need to be betting the flop for value against QQ and JJ, but ever since I realized that people flat 3bets to setmine, I've been paranoid about running into a set. I don't think check/calling is that huge of a mistake because I do think he bets QQ and JJ there a lot. But even as played, my God, why can't I just fold the turn? He makes it so easy for me. He might bet QQ or JJ on the turn but I don't think he ever sizes it like that with anything except AA or a set hoping I have QQ+ and am not good enough to fold. And I do. And I'm not.
Hand #2
Again, I check after 3betting with KK, but in this case I think it's more justified because QQ and JJ have sets and I also get shipped on by lots of naked spades. Unfortunately, it makes it really difficult to play the turn. After the bet and call, I strongly consider folding, but talk myself into calling because they can have AQ or a naked spade. It's probably a fold. Then on the river I feel like I'm priced in, but I don't know if even terrible players play AQ like that. It's probably a fold.
Hand #3
I strongly considered folding after the short button shipped the turn, just because I don't think he checks the flop with QJ, which is the only value hand I'm beating. I tank for a while and end up calling and praying that he has QJ, which I think is a pretty big mistake. Then the other guy ships and I tank again because I have no idea what he can have. I end up timeout-folding, but I was really close to calling, which would have been awful.
These are all big and fairly obvious mistakes, and it's really frustrating to watch myself continue to make them. Guess it's just more evidence for my theory that I have some sort of poker learning disability and I'm doomed to be terrible forever.
Hand #1
I really need to be betting the flop for value against QQ and JJ, but ever since I realized that people flat 3bets to setmine, I've been paranoid about running into a set. I don't think check/calling is that huge of a mistake because I do think he bets QQ and JJ there a lot. But even as played, my God, why can't I just fold the turn? He makes it so easy for me. He might bet QQ or JJ on the turn but I don't think he ever sizes it like that with anything except AA or a set hoping I have QQ+ and am not good enough to fold. And I do. And I'm not.
Hand #2
Again, I check after 3betting with KK, but in this case I think it's more justified because QQ and JJ have sets and I also get shipped on by lots of naked spades. Unfortunately, it makes it really difficult to play the turn. After the bet and call, I strongly consider folding, but talk myself into calling because they can have AQ or a naked spade. It's probably a fold. Then on the river I feel like I'm priced in, but I don't know if even terrible players play AQ like that. It's probably a fold.
Hand #3
I strongly considered folding after the short button shipped the turn, just because I don't think he checks the flop with QJ, which is the only value hand I'm beating. I tank for a while and end up calling and praying that he has QJ, which I think is a pretty big mistake. Then the other guy ships and I tank again because I have no idea what he can have. I end up timeout-folding, but I was really close to calling, which would have been awful.
These are all big and fairly obvious mistakes, and it's really frustrating to watch myself continue to make them. Guess it's just more evidence for my theory that I have some sort of poker learning disability and I'm doomed to be terrible forever.
Hands of the Day
Played a couple of short sessions trying to grind out some Full Tilt Academy Challenges. Won a little and ran into a couple of interesting spots.
Hand #1
This was the very first hand of the session and I made it without the benefit of my HUD. I assumed villain was at least semi-competent based on his stack size. Going into the turn I think his range is largely one pair and I think I can make him fold. On the river, QQ makes a set and is never folding, so I'm not sure if firing again to get him off KK+ is better than giving up.
Hand #2
Villain is a solid reg. Raising this turn seems dubious - it seems like it lets him play perfectly against me. I was hoping to make him fold a set or possibly two pair that he can play like this, but I think he's happy stacking off here with a set and my raise just folds out all of his bluffs. It might be better just to flat the turn, try to get paid if I bink the river, check and win a showdown against some of his bluffs that give up on the river, and fold against his river 3-barrel range. However, he did tank before folding, so maybe I did make him throw away T9 or 77.
Hand #1
This was the very first hand of the session and I made it without the benefit of my HUD. I assumed villain was at least semi-competent based on his stack size. Going into the turn I think his range is largely one pair and I think I can make him fold. On the river, QQ makes a set and is never folding, so I'm not sure if firing again to get him off KK+ is better than giving up.
Hand #2
Villain is a solid reg. Raising this turn seems dubious - it seems like it lets him play perfectly against me. I was hoping to make him fold a set or possibly two pair that he can play like this, but I think he's happy stacking off here with a set and my raise just folds out all of his bluffs. It might be better just to flat the turn, try to get paid if I bink the river, check and win a showdown against some of his bluffs that give up on the river, and fold against his river 3-barrel range. However, he did tank before folding, so maybe I did make him throw away T9 or 77.
Saturday, January 8, 2011
Lose Lose Lose
Lost about $100 over about 1,000 hands of NL50 FR Rush. Felt like I was constantly getting owned by everyone.
Hand #1
This line is unexpected and I'm not sure what villain can have when he does this. He seems like a solid TAG over a few hundred hands. If he were nittier, I could fold river comfortably, but I'm suspicious that this can be a weird thin value line with AJ, or some creative bluff designed to make me fold the exact hand I have. Not really sure what to do here.
Hand #2
Same villain. I briefly considered folding on the turn but I have spade outs and I think I can get at least some value out of him if I hit. I strongly considered check/raising the river as a bluff because I have the king of spades, but I don't know if I can make him fold a flush or even a set.
Hand #1
This line is unexpected and I'm not sure what villain can have when he does this. He seems like a solid TAG over a few hundred hands. If he were nittier, I could fold river comfortably, but I'm suspicious that this can be a weird thin value line with AJ, or some creative bluff designed to make me fold the exact hand I have. Not really sure what to do here.
Hand #2
Same villain. I briefly considered folding on the turn but I have spade outs and I think I can get at least some value out of him if I hit. I strongly considered check/raising the river as a bluff because I have the king of spades, but I don't know if I can make him fold a flush or even a set.
Friday, January 7, 2011
Justice
Played another hour-long session of 4 tables of NL50 FR Rush. Thought I played fairly well, but ran bad EV-wise and lost $134ish. I don't really mind this at all. In fact, I'm still so far above my lifetime all-in EV that I think of sessions like this as "fixing my EV" - a kind of weird, perverse form of justice. After today's session, I'm "only" $690.60 over EV.
A semi-interesting spot came up:
Hand
I only had a dozen or so hands on villain at this point but he seemed nitty. I doubt I'm ever ahead after he bets again on the river - I don't think he ever does this with JJ or worse - but I'm not sure when in the hand the best time to fold is. Can he still have JJ when he bets the turn after I call his check/minraise? Might I even fold to the check/minraise on the flop?
A semi-interesting spot came up:
Hand
I only had a dozen or so hands on villain at this point but he seemed nitty. I doubt I'm ever ahead after he bets again on the river - I don't think he ever does this with JJ or worse - but I'm not sure when in the hand the best time to fold is. Can he still have JJ when he bets the turn after I call his check/minraise? Might I even fold to the check/minraise on the flop?
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